Universitat Politècnica de Catalunya · BarcelonaTech

Prediction and Risk Models for the Management of the Coastal Zone (250583) – Course 2024/25 PDF

Contents

Introduction to the course Presentation of the key concepts related to coastal risk. Definitions Individual and collective assessment of the main types of coastal risks

Specific Objectives

Course structure. Sources of information and data. Practical work. Presentation and definition of the key concepts related to coastal risk analysis. Identification and initial assessment of the importance of the main types of coastal risks by the students of the class. Assessment of the initial perception of risk in general, and of the Catalan coast in particular.

Dedication

3h Large group + 1h Medium group + 5h 36m Self Study
Total: 9h 36m

Identification and description of the main risk factors that induce coastal risk. Characterization of the main elements (population, uses, natural resources, infrastructures, etc.) that determine the magnitude of the damage along the coast. Forecasting future changes in coastal risk

Specific Objectives

Put the agents that induce coastal risk in the Mediterranean in a global context. Identify the different components that contribute to the value of the coastline and that will determine the magnitude of the potential damage. Present the main expected changes in coastal risk in the Mediterranean and identify the factors that determine them

Dedication

4h Large group + 5h 36m Self Study
Total: 9h 36m

Large-scale coastal vulnerability and risk assessment methods using the CSI / CVI approach. Presentation of the Coastal Wheel method for preliminary assessment of coastal risk on a very large scale Application of the methods seen in a real case. Comparison of results according to the chosen method.

Specific Objectives

Present the main methods for assessing coastal vulnerability and risk on a large scale using composite indices. Introduce a very large scale preliminary risk analysis method that is valid even in data-poor situations. Become familiar with the use of the tools seen in the topic.

Dedication

2h Large group + 2h Laboratory classes + 5h 36m Self Study
Total: 9h 36m

Identification of the factors that determine coastal erosion at different scales. Using the SPRC analysis framework Medium and long term erosion Quantification of coastal erosion during storms Geomorphological vulnerability and resilience. Assessment of consequences Evaluation of the coastal risk of erosion in a coastal stretch

Specific Objectives

Introduce main characteristics of erosion during storms and evaluation methods

Dedication

5h Large group + 2h Medium group + 9h 48m Self Study
Total: 16h 48m

Coastal flooding during storms Long-term flooding. The effect of sea level rise Compound flooding Vulnerability and consequences. Flood modeling Flood risk analysis in a coastal stretch

Dedication

4h Large group + 2h Medium group + 1h Laboratory classes + 9h 48m Self Study
Total: 16h 48m

The Coastal Risk Assessment Framework (CRAF) Risk estimation using CRAF in a stretch of real coast Risk prediction using nested models Forecast system for the impact of storms

Dedication

3h 30m Large group + 2h Medium group + 2h 30m Laboratory classes + 11h 12m Self Study
Total: 19h 12m

Dedication

6h Laboratory classes + 8h 23m Self Study
Total: 14h 23m

Main risk factors for pollution in the coastal zone Pollutant dispersion models Oil pollution Plastic pollution Numerical modeling of oil pollution Practice: model of plastics in the sea

Dedication

3h Large group + 4h Medium group + 2h Laboratory classes + 12h 36m Self Study
Total: 21h 36m

Tsunamis Risks to safety on beaches

Dedication

3h Large group + 4h 11m Self Study
Total: 7h 11m

Risk management strategies Perception of risk. The social component Measures for erosion risks Measures for flood risks Nature-oriented measures Risk management and ICZM Proposal of risk management measures for real cases

Dedication

6h Large group + 2h Medium group + 11h 12m Self Study
Total: 19h 12m